As of yesterday, some 248k Republicans in Florida have already cast valid absentee ballots ahead of the March 15 Presidential Preference Primary. Some of these PPP voters, though, only recently became Republicans. More than a handful (1,213) of these GOP primary absentee voters (about 1/2 of 1 percent of the total) only registered as Republicans in the last month, between January 31 and February 16 (the last day to register to vote or change party registration). This includes 470 NPAs, 95 Independent Party registrants, 456 Democrats, and 170 new registrants. A sign of Trump-mentum?
We see a similar pattern on the Democratic side. Nearly 217k Democrats have already cast valid absentee ballots for Hillary or Bernie (or erstwhile Martin O) ahead of the March 15 Presidential Preference Primary. As with Republicans, some of these Democratic PPP voters (672, less than 1/2 of 1 percent), became Democrats between January 31 and February 16. Only 129 of these 672 were newly registered voters; the rest were previously registered with a different party, including 140 Republicans. Are they feeling the Bern?