Exclusive Breakdown of Florida’s 1.125m Republican Votes Cast, By Race/Ethnicity

As of this morning, more than 1.125m Floridians have cast ballots in the GOP presidential preference primary.

Here’s the breakdown by race/ethnicity:

971.6k white Republicans have already voted; that’s 86.3% of the total votes cast in the GOP PPP. Thus far, 112.6k Republican Hispanics have voted, or 10% of the total.

Overall, 24.5% of registered Republicans (active and inactive) have already voted.

The overall 1.125m Republican ballots cast to date includes 484.6k voters who did not participate in the 2012 PPP, or 43% of the vote total.  Nearly 85% of these voters who didn’t bother (as well as some who weren’t registered) to vote in 2012 in the primary are white.

The overall GOP total votes cast also includes 3.5k of the party’s 307k  inactive voters; 73% are white and 22% are Hispanic.

One last demographic breakdown for the GOP voters who’ve voted early in-person or by absentee ballot: they’re old.  Nearly 64% of votes cast by registered Republicans in Florida’s PPP are at least 60 years of age.  Slightly more than 4% — only 46k voters — are under 30.  Of that younger GOP crowd, 80% are white.

Draw your own conclusions…

 

Exclusive: 1.98 million votes cast in Florida; Over 25k Last Minuite Party-Switchers

As of this morning, 1.98m early in-person and absentee ballots have been cast in Florida.  Early voting is now complete in Florida, and these totals include all early in-person ballots cast in Florida (except for those cast in the 9 counties that extended the option to voters today) as well as absentee ballots received as of this morning.

Over 1.125m Republicans have cast absentee and early in-person ballots.  Of the 4.59m registered Republicans (active and inactive), 24.5% have voted.

Over 824.4m Democrats have cast  absentee and early in-person ballots.  Of the 5.05m registered Democrats (active and inactive), 16.3% have voted.

The balance of votes have been cast by NPAs and those registered with 3rd parties.

These early vote totals include last-minute party-switchers and new registrants.

The Democrats picked up more than 4k Floridians who registered in the final two weeks prior to the February 16 book closing and who have already voted in the Democratic PPP primary. But the total also includes nearly 10k registered voters who switched to the Democratic Party in the final two weeks before the cutoff date, including nearly 6.9k NPAs and 1.9k previously registered Republicans.

Republicans picked up more than 4.8k new registrants during the final two weeks who have already voted, but also added 15k previously registered Floridians who switched their party registrations, including 7.7k NPAs.

Is this party-switching registration during the final two weeks prior to the book closing on February 16 evidence of strategic voting?  Likely so. (I’ll be digging into this in greater detail for a forthcoming academic paper).

 

Exclusive: Where are the Un-returned Absentee Ballots in Florida?

More than 1.12m Floridians have cast valid absentee mail ballots, including 462.5k Democrats and 626.8k Republicans.

But more than 607k absentee ballots mailed out by the 67 county SOEs to Democratic and Republican voters have yet to be returned by voters.

As of yesterday morning, there were nearly 300k Republican absentee ballots that need to reach SOE offices by close of business on Tuesday, and over 308k Democratic absentee ballots that had yet to arrive at SOE offices.

Here’s the number of absentee ballots provided, by not returned, by county, to date:

Absentee Ballots Provided, Not Returned
County Republican Democrat
ALA 2,530 3,393
BAK 210 221
BAY 2,655 1,712
BRA 288 370
BRE 14,157 10,531
BRO 16,491 31,632
CAL 74 218
CHA 3,250 2,368
CIT 2,668 2,016
CLA 3,299 1,161
CLL 6,911 2,619
CLM 593 646
DAD 25,354 33,115
DES 191 230
DIX 153 296
DUV 12,979 11,089
ESC 5,424 3,094
FLA 1,286 955
FRA 144 296
GAD 194 1,194
GIL 240 225
GLA 75 49
GUL 143 158
HAM 105 252
HAR 88 72
HEN 188 247
HER 2,913 3,142
HIG 1,287 847
HIL 20,402 22,104
HOL 247 274
IND 3,493 1,638
JAC 372 687
JEF 118 367
LAF 39 111
LAK 4,672 2,907
LEE 14,842 8,609
LEO 2,760 4,111
LEV 799 516
LIB 16 100
MAD 83 208
MAN 8,140 4,798
MON 1,847 1,570
MRN 4,227 2,329
MRT 4,036 2,096
NAS 1,466 716
OKA 4,160 1,126
OKE 266 239
ORA 15,493 30,910
OSC 3,420 6,157
PAL 13,872 20,319
PAS 6,405 6,285
PIN 35,143 36,545
POL 8,947 8,804
PUT 669 935
SAN 3,175 1,114
SAR 7,902 4,876
SEM 8,164 7,144
STJ 3,706 1,552
STL 3,365 4,657
SUM 1,996 968
SUW 488 715
TAY 184 479
UNI 113 141
VOL 8,808 8,597
WAK 268 452
WAL 918 298
WAS 402 447
Total 299,313 308,049

Writing a story and interested in the partisan and racial/ethnic breakdowns of the un-returned absentee ballots for a particular county? Feel free to contact me directly.

 

This Morning’s PSA: Early Voting in Florida continues today in 9 counties…Hours & Locations here

Final Sunday of Early Voting, March 13, 2016
2016 Presidential Preference Primary Election (March 15)
Bradford
Name Address Times
Bradford County Courthouse 945 N. Temple Ave, Starke 9:00 am – 5:00 pm
Broward
Name Address Times
Supervisor of Elections Office – Lauderhill Mall 1519 NW 40th Ave, Lauderhill 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Supervisor of Elections Office – E. Pat Larkins 520 Martin Luther King Blvd, Pompano Beach 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
African-American Research Library 2650 Sistrunk Blvd (NW 6th St.), Ft. Lauderdale 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Coral Ridge Mall (North or Northwest Entrance) 3200 N. Federal Highway, Ft. Lauderdale 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Davie/Cooper City Branch Library 4600 SW 82nd Avenue, Davie 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Emma Lou Olson Civic Center 1801 NE 6th St., Pompano Beach 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Ft. Lauderdale Branch Library/Art Serve 1350 E. Sunrise Blvd, Room 130, Ft. Lauderdale 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Hallandale Beach Cultural Community Center 410 SE 3rd Street, Hallandale Beach 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Hollywood Branch Library 2600 Hollywood Boulevard, Hollywood 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Miramar Library 2050 Civic Center Place, Miramar 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
North Regional Library/ 1100 Coconut Creek Blvd, Coconut Creek 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Northwest Regional Library 3151 University Drive, Coral Springs 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Oveta McKeithen Recreational Complex 445 S.W. 2nd Street, Deerfield Beach 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Parkland Community Center 10559 Trails End, Parkland 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Southwest Regional Library 16835 Sheridan Street, Pembroke Pines 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Sunrise Senior Center 10650 W. Oakland Park Blvd., Sunrise 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Tamarac Branch Library 8701 W. Commercial Boulevard, Tamarac 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Weston Branch Library 4205 Bonaventure Boulevard, Weston 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
West Regional Library 8601 W. Broward Boulevard, Plantation 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Wilton Manors City Hall 2020 Wilton Drive, Wilton Manors 9:00 am – 7:00 pm
Charlotte
Name Address Times
Charlotte County Historical Courthouse 226 Taylor St., Punta Gorda 7:00 am – 7:00 pm
Mid County Regional Library 2050 Forrest Nelson Blvd., Port Charlotte 7:00 am – 7:00 pm
West County Annex, Englewood 6868 San Casa Dr., Englewood 7:00 am – 7:00 pm
Duval
Name Address Times
Supervisor of Elections – Main Office 105 East Monroe Street, Jacksonvile 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Argyle Branch Library 7973 Old Middleburg Road South, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Beaches Branch Library 600 3rd Street, Neptune Beach 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Bradham-Brooks Branch Library 1755 Edgewood Avenue West, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Gateway Town Center 910 West 44th Street, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Highlands Regional Library 1826 Dunn Avenue, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Legends Community Center 5130 Soutel Drive, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Mandarin Branch Library 3330 Kori Road, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Murray Hill Branch Library 918 Edgewood Avenue South, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Oceanway Community Center 12215 Sago Avenue, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Pablo Creek Regional Library 13295 Beach Boulevard, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Regency Square Branch Library 9900 Regency Square Boulevard, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
San Marco Branch Library 1513 LaSalle Street, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
South Mandarin Branch Library 12125 San Jose Boulevard, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Southeast Regional Library 10599 Deerwood Park Boulevard, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
University Park Branch Library 3435 University Boulevard North, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Webb Wesconnett Regional Library 6887 103rd Street, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
West Branch Library 1425 Chaffee Road South, Jacksonville 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Hillsborough
Name Address Times
Supervisor of Elections Office – Robert L. Gilder Center 2514 N Falkenburg Rd., Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Bloomingdale Regional Public Library 1906 Bloomingdale Ave , Valrico 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
C. Blythe Andrews Jr. Public Library 2607 E Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Blvd., Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Fred B. Karl County Center 601 E Kennedy Blvd, Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Jan Kaminis Platt Regional Library 3910 S Manhattan Ave, Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Jimmie B. Keel Regional Library 2902 West Bearss Avenue, Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
New Tampa Regional Library 10001 Cross Creek Blvd., Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
North Tampa Branch Library 8916 North Blvd., Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Plant City, Bruton Memorial Library 302 W McLendon St., Plant City 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Riverview Branch Library 10509 Riverview Dr., Riverview 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
SouthShore Regional Library 15816 Beth Shields Way, Ruskin 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Temple Terrace Public Library 202 Bullard Pkw., Temple Terrace 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Town ‘N Country Regional Public Library 7606 Paula Drive, Suite 120, Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Upper Tampa Bay Regional Public Library 11211 Countryway Blvd., Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
West Tampa Branch Library 2312 W Union St., Tampa 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Miami-Dade
Name Address Times
Supervisor of Elections Office – Main Office 2700 NW 87th Avenue, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
City of Miami – City Hall 3500 Pan American Drive, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Coral Gables Branch Library 3443 Segovia Street, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Coral Reef Branch Library 9211 SW 152nd Street, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Homestead / William F. “Bill” Dickinson Comm. Cntr 1601 N. Krome Avenue, Homestead 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
John F. Kennedy Library 190 W 49th Street, Hialeah 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Kendall Branch Library 9101 SW 97th Avenue, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Lemon City Library 430 NE 61st Street, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Miami Beach City Hall 1700 Convention Center Drive, Miami Beach 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Miami Lakes /Mary Collins Community Center 15151 NW 82nd Avenue, Miami Lakes 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Model City Library (Caleb Center) 2211 NW 54th Street, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
North Dade Regional Library 2455 NW 183rd Street, Miami Gardens 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
North Miami Public Library 835 NE 132nd Street, North Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
North Shore Branch Library 7501 Collins Avenue, Miami Beach 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Northeast Dade-Aventura Branch Library 2930 Aventura Boulevard, Aventura 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
South Dade Regional Library 10750 SW 211th Street, Cutler Bay 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Stephen P. Clark Gov’t Center (Elections Branch Office) 111 NW 1st Street (Lobby), Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
West Dade Regional Library 9445 SW 24th Street, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
West End Regional Library 10201 Hammocks Boulevard, Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
West Miami Community Center 901 SW 62nd Avenue, West Miami 8:00 am – 4:00 pm
Orange
Name Address Times
Supervisor Of Elections Office 119 W Kaley St., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Acacia Florida Centro Borinqueno 1865 N Econlockhatchee Trail, Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Alafaya Branch Library 12000 E Colonial Dr., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Apopka Community Center & VFW 519 S Central Ave., Apopka 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Chickasaw Branch Library 870 N Chickasaw Trail, Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Edgewater Branch Library 5049 Edgewater Dr., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Herndon Branch Library 4324 E Colonial Dr., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Hiawassee Branch Library 7391 W Colonial Dr., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Maitland Community Park 1400 Mayo Ave., Maitland 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Orange County National Golf Center 16301 Phil Ritson Way, Winter Garden 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Renaissance Senior Center 3800 S Econlockhatchee Trail, Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
South Creek Branch Library 1702 Deerfield Blvd., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Southeast Branch Library 5575 S Semoran Blvd., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Southwest Branch Library 7255 Della Dr., Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Washington Park Branch Library 5151 Raleigh St, Suite A, Orlando 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
West Oaks Branch Library 1821 E Silver Star Rd, Ocoee 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Winter Park Library 460 E New England Ave., Winter Park 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Palm Beach
Name Address Times
Supervisor of Elections Office 240 S Military Trail, West Palm Beach 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Acreage Branch Library 15801 Orange Blvd., Loxahatchee 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Belle Glade Branch Library 725 NW 4th St., Belle Glade 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Boca Raton City Library 400 NW 2nd Ave., Boca Raton 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
City of West Palm Beach Police Community Room 600 Banyan Blvd., West Palm Beach 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Ezell Hester Community Center 1901 Seacrest Blvd., Boynton Beach 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Gardens Branch Library 11303 Campus Drive, Palm Beach Gardens 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Hagen Ranch Road Library 14350 Hagen Ranch Rd., Delray Beach 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Jupiter Community Center 200 Military Trail, Jupiter 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Lantana Branch Library 4020 Lantana Road, Lantana 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Wellington Branch Library 1951 Royal Fern Dr,, Wellington 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Wells Recreation & Community Center 2409 Avenue H West, Riviera Beach 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
West Boca Branch Library 18685 State Rd. 7, Boca Raton 10:00 am – 6:00 pm
Pinellas
Name Address Times
Supervisor of Elections Office – County Courthouse 315 Court St., Room 117, Clearwater 9:00 am to 5:00 pm
Supervisor of Elections Office – County Building 501 First Ave. N., St. Petersburg 9:00 am to 5:00 pm
supervisor of Elections Office – Starkey Lakes Center 13301 Starkey Rd., Largo 9:00 am to 5:00 pm