As of this morning, 1.98m early in-person and absentee ballots have been cast in Florida. Early voting is now complete in Florida, and these totals include all early in-person ballots cast in Florida (except for those cast in the 9 counties that extended the option to voters today) as well as absentee ballots received as of this morning.
Over 1.125m Republicans have cast absentee and early in-person ballots. Of the 4.59m registered Republicans (active and inactive), 24.5% have voted.
Over 824.4m Democrats have cast absentee and early in-person ballots. Of the 5.05m registered Democrats (active and inactive), 16.3% have voted.
The balance of votes have been cast by NPAs and those registered with 3rd parties.
These early vote totals include last-minute party-switchers and new registrants.
The Democrats picked up more than 4k Floridians who registered in the final two weeks prior to the February 16 book closing and who have already voted in the Democratic PPP primary. But the total also includes nearly 10k registered voters who switched to the Democratic Party in the final two weeks before the cutoff date, including nearly 6.9k NPAs and 1.9k previously registered Republicans.
Republicans picked up more than 4.8k new registrants during the final two weeks who have already voted, but also added 15k previously registered Floridians who switched their party registrations, including 7.7k NPAs.
Is this party-switching registration during the final two weeks prior to the book closing on February 16 evidence of strategic voting? Likely so. (I’ll be digging into this in greater detail for a forthcoming academic paper).