As of this morning,some 5.7m Floridians have voted. Of the state’s 12.7m active voters, that’s a turnout rate 44.5% ahead of Tuesday’s election (and with ballots still to be tabulated from today and in many large counties tomorrow that have EIP voting; and thousands of domestic mail ballots are still to arrive by Election Day.)
So, who are the 7m or so active Floridians who have not yet voted, or have not yet returned their mail ballots? Why have they chosen to subject themselves to the continual bombardment of phone calls, direct mail, and door knocks by anxious campaigners?
Of the 2.6m active registered Democrats still waiting to be inspired, 1.2m are white, 775k are black, and 446k are Hispanic.
On the Republican side of those still on the sidelines, 1.9m of the 2.3m who haven’t voted are white, and 264k are Hispanics.
Perhaps most crucial to the presidential and US Senate elections are the nearly 2m NPAs who have yet to vote. Of these anti-party, party-pessimists, or party-poopers, 1.1m are white, 440k are Hispanic, and 178k are black.
The presidential election could well be decided by which campaign is able to convince, cajole, or carry these potential voters to the polls.
Time to get to work, campaign operatives!