Is Black Turnout going to Increase in Florida’s 2018 General Election with Andrew Gillum as the Democratic Nominee?

In the 2016 General Election, younger African American registered voters in Florida didn’t turn out to vote. For Andrew Gillum to have a shot at winning in November, that has to change.

Here’s a plot of the count of registered black voters in Florida as of December 2016, by gender (excluding those with missing data).

Surprising no one, there were nearly 300,000 fewer black men registered voters in Florida than black females in late 2016. The biggest gap between black men and women registered in Florida is among those in their middle-age. For more on the missing black population (which then relates to registered voters and representation), you might want to read of an article by my coauthors and me.

But when it comes to turnout, in the November 2016 election younger (18-26 year olds) black registered voters–male and female alike–were much more likely to stay home than go to the polls than older African Americans in Florida.

As the plot below reveals, though, younger black males accounted for a disproportionate amount of the turnout gap in Florida’s 2016 General Election. For example, as shown above, although there were over 120,000 blacks aged 21-24 years-old who didn’t vote in 2016, nearly 70,000 of those who didn’t vote were registered black men (as the plot below reveals).

We’ll see if these distributions continue this coming November with Andrew Gillum on the ballot. The 2018 gubernatorial race in Florida is all about mobilization of the base.

Victory for Puerto Rican voters in Florida! U.S. District Court orders Florida Secretary of State Detzner to require Spanish-language sample ballots in 32 counties.

Judge Mark Walker, Federal District Court in Tallahassee, Florida, ruled that 32 Florida counties must provide signage, sample ballots and notices in Spanish, in compliance with Section 4(e) of the Voting Rights Act.

Judge Walker’s order is here.

Proud to have served as an expert in the case, working with an outstanding coalition of voting rights organizations.

For those of you looking for the Class Complaint for Injunctive and and Declaratory Relief for the Section 4(e) VRA Spanish-language ballots & other materials for American citizens in Florida educated in Spanish-speaking Puerto Rican schools, it’s available here

MARTA VALENTINA RIVERA MADERA, on behalf of herself and all others similarly situated; FAITH IN FLORIDA, HISPANIC FEDERATION, MI FAMILIA VOTA EDUCATION FUND, UNIDOSUS, and VAMOS4PR,
PLAINTIFFS,
v.
KEN DETZNER, in his official capacity as Secretary of State for the State of Florida; and KIM A. BARTON, in her official capacity as Alachua County Supervisor of Elections, on behalf of herself and similarly-situated County Supervisors of Elections, DEFENDANTS.

Available here: 1.18 cv 00152-MW-GRJ Rivera Madera et al v. DETZNER et al Complaint.