Expertise in Voting & Elections in the American States


Which FL counties have the highest turnout thus far in the 2016 PPP?

Here’s % voter turnout, by party registration, as of end of March 5, 2016 (early in-person & absentee), for the top 10 and bottom 10 performing counties:

County % Rep Turnout County % Dem Turnout
LEE 23.3 PIN 19.54
PIN 21.0 LEE 15.98
BAK 17.7 MON 15.24
SUM 17.4 SUM 14.41
CIT 16.3 SAR 13.75
CLL 16.0 HER 13.59
MON 15.8 MRT 13.09
DAD 15.4 CHA 12.82
MRT 15.4 CIT 12.52
TAY 14.8 MAN 11.46
***** ***** ***** *****
HOL 6.8 WAK 4.85
CLM 6.7 PAL 4.46
GUL 6.6 LAF 4.18
BAY 6.5 HOL 3.94
LAF 6.5 LIB 3.91
MAD 6.3 GUL 3.9
PAL 5.1 UNI 3.09
UNI 4.8 MAD 2.94
GLA 2.7 HAR 1.17
HAR 2.0 GLA 0.91

Florida Absentee Ballot Update: 592.8k cast in #2016 PPP

Absentee ballots received by SOEs on Saturday are now in the hopper. Nearly 600k Floridians have already voted, including 310.5k Republicans and 267.8k Democrats.  Of the 592.8k, the state’s SOEs have recorded 4,516 as having a “voter error”; this is down from Friday’s total of 4,700, which apparently means some SOEs took a closer look at some of the absentee ballots being processed, changing many that previously had a “voter error” over the weekend. Of course, all absentee ballots deemed by SOEs staff await the final judgment of the county’s three-member Canvassing Board, which can accept them for counting or reject them as “illegal.” As for those absentee ballots without signatures, according to the latest figures some 3,332 absentee ballot voters failed to sign the back of the envelope. Some 395 ballots in last Friday’s totals were classified as having “voter error” have been reclassified as “voted”; another 58 that lacked a signature apparently were “cured” by a voter coming in and signing the back of the flagged envelope.

Younger voters continue to eschew voting absentee ballots relative to the rest of registered voters. This is likely a good thing, given their greater likelihood of screwing up by not having their signature match what’s on the voter file (see my  prior post).  Less than 3% of all absentee ballot processed thus far are by voters under the age of 30; 71.5% have been cast by those over 60 years of age.  Over 3% of absentee ballots cast by voters under 30 have a “voter error,” compared to less than .6% of those 60 and older.  The rate of older and younger voters who have forgotten to sign their envelopes is comparable, though.Today also marks the first day of early in-person voting in 17 counties, as I tweeted earlier today.

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