Exclusive: 2012/2016 Comparison of Daily Vote-by-Mail Received by SOEs in Florida, by Party and by Race/Ethnicity, through November 2, 2016

Nearly 2.3 million vote-by-mail ballots have been received by the state’s 67 Supervisors of Elections through yesterday, November 2, 2016. Domestic absentee ballots can continue to roll in through Election Day.

Here are the daily 2012/2016 comparisons of VBMs received for party and race/ethnicity, through 6 days prior to Election Day.

 

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Exclusive Racial/Ethnic Breakdown of 2016 Early Votes Cast (EIP & VBM) in Florida, with 2012 Comparisons

Here are the latest figures I’ve calculated by linking the statewide September 30, 2016 voter file with daily Early In-Person and Vote-by-Mail returns, and comparing these figures with data from 2012 at the same point in time (that is, through Sunday, October 30, 2016, and Sunday, October 28, 2012).

Note, that in 2012, there were only two days of early in-person voting at this juncture (Saturday, October 27 and Sunday, October 28), whereas in 2016, some 50 counties have had at least 7 days of EIP, and all 67 counties have had at least two day (Saturday, October 29 and yesterday, Sunday October 30).

I’ve tweeted and blogged earlier today about the trends, and spoken to about a dozen reporters today, so dig around if you want my interpretation.

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