The presidential election (and the US Senate, too) in Florida will be decided by Hispanic turnout.
Hispanics now comprise 15.6% of the state’s 12.7m active registered voters; in 2012, Hispanics comprised 13.6% of the Sunshine State’s voter rolls.
So far, as of yesterday, October 29, 2016, Hispanic voters are comprising a considerably higher percentage of voters than they did at this point in time in 2012, far exceeding their 2% point share of registered voters.
Here’s the Hispanic share of total votes cast (VBM & EIP) by all voters, 9 days out from election day, in 2016 vs. 2012.
Percentage of all Vote-by-Mail (VBM) ballots cast by Hispanics:
2016 = 12.9%
2012 = 9.5%
Percentage of all Early In-Person (EIP) ballots cast by Hispanics:
2016 = 14.2%
2012 = 9.9%
ElectionSmith 